Depends if you win against Croatia in London.
I bet on a draw.
But then again, Russia has to play Israel and Andorra.
Now the standings are like this
Cro 26
Eng 23
Rus 21
To beat Croatia, you have to win by more than 2-0. Say you do.
Eng 26
Cro 26 (Game behind)
Rus 21 (with two games behind)
Croatia will play Macedonia away. They will win, and my guess is that Macedonia will give that game to Croatia.
Cro 27
Eng 26
Rus 21 (with Andorra and Israel to play away)
Statisticaly, your faith is in Israel's hands. Israel will beat Russia at home, well because England has to go through and Israel's FA is highly connected with the UEFA.
So Croatia with 27 and England with 26 points.