DUBOIS AGAIN
Here are a few excerpts, with my comments, about a recent news article about Dr. Gary Schwartz, PhD, the scientist from the University of Arizona who fancies that he has established the existence of life-after-death because he cannot believe he's deceived by the talking-to-dead-people artists. The first item involves his meticulous investigation of Allison Dubois, a "psychic" discussed here recently. To no one's surprise, Schwartz found her to be in touch with woo-woo forces:
Schwartz first put Dubois through a direct, informal reading on himself. A beloved mentor of his had just died, but he told her nothing about that woman. Among other things, Dubois told Schwartz "the deceased was telling me that I must share the following — I don't walk alone," a seemingly innocuous piece of information, but critical to him.
"My friend had been confined to a wheelchair in her last years — there is no way Allison could have known that," he said.
Wow! A stunning hit! How can we deny that "not walking alone" perfectly describes being confined to a wheelchair? Well, most of us won't be able to see that perfect description, Dr. Schwartz. How about having friends or a companion, being married, having supporters, being a member of a support group, etc., etc.? It certainly does not describe being in a wheelchair. I know several persons who are thus confined, and though they don't walk, they get around quite well! Where are your standards for arriving at such an identity, Dr. Schwartz? If Allison had described your friend as saying "I have support," would that define that she received a pension, used crutches, a truss, or a wheelchair, had inherited money, had insurance, or received encouragement? You are leaping to an unsupportable conclusion here, but of course you need to, to maintain your fantasies. So you don't walk alone, perhaps....? To continue:
After that, the formal, scientific experiments began under controlled conditions — some of them completely "blinded," so Dubois could not see or talk to the person she was reading, or vice versa. They were not even told each other's full names.
Hey, Schwartz! A junior Boy Scout could develop a better protocol without even graduating from Harvard — an accomplishment you never fail to press on us. "Some of" the experiments were not "blinded"? Why weren't all of them blinded? Because Dubois wouldn't do them that way, or because you decided they didn't need to be done like that? And, no "full names"? Only "George" or "Lucy"? Gee, that only tells the gender, I guess. But who cares? Allison is the real thing, so we can throw her that bone.
In one of these experiments, Dubois was asked to contact a deceased person close to a woman in England she had never met. She was told only the woman's first name and that she wanted to hear from her deceased husband. During the actual reading, Dubois was at the UA lab, and the woman was in England.
Okay. This sort of situation would indicate that conditions are pretty good, right? True, we have the gender of both the "readee" and the sought-after "spirit" or "ghost," and the relationship between the two, but we can accept that data-leak. The geographic separation is also good. But then it all falls apart, though Schwartz seems unaware of that — perhaps willingly ignorant in this respect. Continuing:
A transcript of the information Dubois got during the reading — supposedly from the dead husband — was sent to his wife in England, who scored it as 73 percent accurate. "That's extraordinarily high accuracy, and Allison always scored in the near-80 percent range," Schwartz said. "That clearly puts her among the best of the best."
Really? Well, I'm willing to accept that figure, Dr. Schwartz, but I have an observation: the reading must have run on forever, for there had to be at least 100 data-points given by Dubois in order to provide an accuracy of 73 percent, but arriving at such a percentage is meaningless anyway, since we don't have the data, and don't know the probability of each statement being true when applied to a randomly selected individual. But that's of little importance, since luckily we can now examine that transcript, and by inquiring of the woman in the UK, we will have validation of that accuracy, won't we? What??!! We can't have access to the transcript or to the subject? Drat!
Schwartz has established beyond any discussion, the fact that we can't see his data. Only the Society for Psychical Research, his publisher, can see that material — and perhaps not even them, for all we know. Certainly, a mere magician in Florida cannot be granted access! Back to the Adventures of Gary the Naïve. Says he, concerning the JREF million-dollar prize that both he and the University of Arizona have refused:
"I refused for the same reason all serious scientists in America and Europe have refused. The process of this prize lacks scientific credibility and integrity," he said. "This guy is not a scientist — he is a mediocre magician who loves the public eye."
Well, I'm not about to argue with Schwartz about "this guy's" mediocrity, but I'll tell you that when Professor John Taylor of King's College, London, referred to me years ago similarly as "a mere conjuror," my response seemed adequate: "Conjuror, yes, John, but 'mere' — never!"
The JREF prize has every bit of "scientific credibility and integrity." It is vetted and supervised by the best and most respected scientists, from MIT, Columbia, Yale, and other academic centers all over the world — alas, but not from Harvard, which might be a fatal flaw. It's real, it has integrity and credibility, and Dr. Gary Schwartz knows it well. His arrogant ivory-tower dismissal of this magician is understandable, since he is defenseless before the challenge we offer and must studiously ignore it.
But wait.... There's that transcript sent to the UK. Perhaps an established academic out there would care to ask Dr. Schwartz for a copy? Would he, and will he, refuse a real academic access to that material for the purpose of an analysis and evaluation? More to the point, would he provide Dr. Ray Hyman with a copy? Even better: will Dr. Schwartz give a copy to the University of Arizona's President, Dr. Peter Likens?
Let's see....!
Meanwhile, refer to
www.csicop.org/si/2001-11/mediums.html and
http://skepdic.com/essays/schwartz.html for in-depth references to Schwartz's findings. Be sure to be seated with your seat-belts fastened; it's a bumpy ride.